Monday, January 03, 2011

Europe's Slump = USA Slump = What Should We Do?

Firms Hurting as Europe Slumps
Wall Street Journal

By CARI TUNA And ELLEN BYRON
12/7/2010


Multinational companies in a range of industries are seeing slowdowns in Europe and bracing for what could be many months of weakness.


Companies in the technology and health-care fields are under pressure from government efforts in Europe to cut costs, while consumer-goods makers have to contend with sluggishness in nations including Spain, Ireland and Greece. They are responding, in some cases, by cutting jobs and investments, steps that will themselves weigh on Europe's economic climate.


"There will be less people working, less people paying taxes, which will weigh further on government finances—all of this is linked to weakening economic growth," said Media Eghbal, a Western Europe analyst for market-research firm Euromonitor International Inc.


The euro-zone's economic growth slowed sharply in the third quarter, as business investment stalled, signaling that companies aren't confident enough to commit more capital. Spain's economy stagnated, and Greece's contracted. Pressure to cut public-sector spending is rising as government debt climbs.


"Central government budgets in many of the countries in Europe are being reduced dramatically," a spokesperson for Cisco said in a conference call with analysts. That factor, among others, led Cisco, which makes routers and switches that connect computers to the Internet and each other, to announce a weaker-than-expected sales forecast, sending its stock price tumbling over the past quarter.

OPINION-What Needs to Happen, But Most Likely Will Not (Jerry Wade)
Unless the U.S. does the right thing (start balancing the budget), which our elected officials have shown a clear lack of guts to do thus far, we will likely relapse into recession. In my opinion, we have never really left the current recession. What needs to happen as soon as possible in America is the following:



  • American households modify their lifestyles in such a way that they achieve positive vs. negative cash flow.

  • American households modify their lifestyles in such a way that they quit spending from investments while still working and instead, start saving more for retirement..

  • Federal Government makes the hard changes necessary to achieve positive vs. negative cash flow.

  • State Governments makes the hard changes necessary to achieve positive vs. negative cash flow.

  • Pension plans are restructured to provide lower current and future payouts, or risk running out of many for all current and future retirees.

  • Social Security restructured to provide lower current and future payouts, or risk running out of money for all current and future retirees.

  • Labor Union Benefit packages for millions of employees are restructured to provide lower current and future payouts, or risk running out of money for all current and future retirees.

  • And yes, higher taxes, for a limited period of time, for all who earn an income.

The impasse we have seen thus far is the Republicans want to cut expenses and not raise taxes. The Democrats want to raise taxes and spend more money. The labor unions do not want any changes; pension plans are inept thus far at seeing that they have a problem; and the folks currently on Social Security and future recipients want nothing to do with any cuts.


Without shared sacrifice, across all the above groups,
the good old U. S. of A. will experience further financial collapse.


Investing Lesson
At this point in time, it is prudent to err on the side of safety vs. taking too much investment risk.


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